NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU UNI
Points 69.9 70.1
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.1 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.6 13.4
Points From Free Throws 14.3 17.5
Shooting SIU UNI
Field Goals Made 23.6 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 50.9
Field Goal % 44.8% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 27.7 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 14.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 24.7
Free Throw % 77.2% 70.8%
Ball Control SIU UNI
Rebounds 30.9 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 6.6
Turnovers 10.6 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.1
Steals 4.8 5.6
Fouls 18.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU UNI
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 65.5
% of Possessions with SIU UNI
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 19.1%
Player Fouled 24.1% 27.5%
Turnover 15.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU UNI
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 21.2%