NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG OSU
Points 60.8 69.6
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 33.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 20.7
Points From Free Throws 12.4 15.2
Shooting RUTG OSU
Field Goals Made 21.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 56.9
Field Goal % 34.8% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 44.4 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 37.5% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 12.4 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.2
Free Throw % 67.7% 75.2%
Ball Control RUTG OSU
Rebounds 36.8 42.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.0
Turnovers 9.6 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.4
Steals 5.8 5.3
Fouls 15.2 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Ohio St

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG OSU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 69.3
% of Possessions with RUTG OSU
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 24.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.6%
Turnover 13.7% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG OSU
Shot Blocked 9.7% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 30.9%