NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RUTG MASS
Points 65.7 67.8
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 20.0
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.5
Shooting RUTG MASS
Field Goals Made 22.2 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 57.6
Field Goal % 38.2% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 21.3
Free Throw % 67.7% 68.2%
Ball Control RUTG MASS
Rebounds 37.2 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 13.5
Turnovers 10.6 13.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.5
Steals 7.1 6.7
Fouls 14.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: U Mass

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RUTG MASS
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.1 71.3
% of Possessions with RUTG MASS
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 25.6%
Player Fouled 23.0% 20.4%
Turnover 15.0% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken RUTG MASS
Shot Blocked 6.2% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 35.7%