NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USI TNTC
Points 69.2 67.0
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.3 15.5
Shooting USI TNTC
Field Goals Made 24.2 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 51.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.0% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 22.3
Free Throw % 75.1% 69.5%
Ball Control USI TNTC
Rebounds 35.8 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 5.5
Turnovers 10.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.3
Steals 6.2 4.9
Fouls 18.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: TN Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USI TNTC
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 64.3
% of Possessions with USI TNTC
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 24.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 25.9%
Turnover 15.4% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken USI TNTC
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 17.1%