NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG HOW
Points 67.5 70.2
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 21.7
Points From Free Throws 12.2 15.6
Shooting WAG HOW
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.2
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.2 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 76.0%
Ball Control WAG HOW
Rebounds 31.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 9.9
Turnovers 8.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.3
Steals 5.5 3.5
Fouls 15.5 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG HOW
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 66.0
% of Possessions with WAG HOW
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 27.0%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.1%
Turnover 12.0% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG HOW
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 31.0%