NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG
Points 66.8 55.5
Total Points   122.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 29.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 19.9
Points From Free Throws 9.6 6.5
Shooting WAG
Field Goals Made 24.8 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 52.4
Field Goal % 42.3% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 9.6 6.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 10.7
Free Throw % 69.5% 60.7%
Ball Control WAG
Rebounds 37.1 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 7.1
Turnovers 8.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.1
Steals 5.8 3.7
Fouls 12.1 11.4

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG
Total Possessions 64.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 59.4
% of Possessions with WAG
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 33.3%
Player Fouled 17.7% 18.8%
Turnover 12.6% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 21.2%