NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG FDU
Points 69.8 65.5
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 20.5
Points From Free Throws 10.9 12.9
Shooting WAG FDU
Field Goals Made 25.4 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 57.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 28.3%
Free Throws Made 10.9 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 18.6
Free Throw % 69.5% 69.4%
Ball Control WAG FDU
Rebounds 39.8 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.1
Turnovers 9.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.1
Steals 5.0 4.8
Fouls 14.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG FDU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.2
% of Possessions with WAG FDU
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 30.3%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.4%
Turnover 14.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG FDU
Shot Blocked 3.6% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 23.9%