NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG SH
Points 65.9 67.7
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 19.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 11.7
Shooting WAG SH
Field Goals Made 23.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 55.2
Field Goal % 39.1% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 11.2 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 16.7
Free Throw % 69.5% 70.0%
Ball Control WAG SH
Rebounds 37.8 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 7.3
Turnovers 9.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.2
Steals 4.9 5.1
Fouls 13.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG SH
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 65.2
% of Possessions with WAG SH
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 26.8%
Player Fouled 19.1% 20.2%
Turnover 14.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG SH
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 21.9%