NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG STON
Points 61.2 69.3
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 20.8
Points From Free Throws 9.8 12.5
Shooting WAG STON
Field Goals Made 21.7 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.0
Field Goal % 35.9% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 38.4% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.9 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 9.8 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 17.2
Free Throw % 69.5% 72.8%
Ball Control WAG STON
Rebounds 35.2 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 30.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.7
Turnovers 7.5 8.4
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.7
Steals 4.9 3.7
Fouls 13.7 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG STON
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 66.7
% of Possessions with WAG STON
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 28.3%
Player Fouled 17.2% 20.7%
Turnover 11.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG STON
Shot Blocked 4.8% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 25.7%