NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG
Points 61.3 58.1
Total Points   119.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 19.6
Points From Free Throws 10.5 10.6
Shooting WAG
Field Goals Made 22.5 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 54.4
Field Goal % 39.4% 37.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 40.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 10.5 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 15.4
Free Throw % 69.5% 68.9%
Ball Control WAG
Rebounds 36.2 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.6
Turnovers 9.1 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.1
Steals 5.0 4.3
Fouls 13.7 12.0

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG
Total Possessions 64.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 64.5
% of Possessions with WAG
2 Point Attempt 54.2% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 25.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 21.1%
Turnover 14.0% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG
Shot Blocked 7.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 28.9%