NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCW DAV
Points 70.9 72.2
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.3 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 21.3
Points From Free Throws 16.1 13.8
Shooting UNCW DAV
Field Goals Made 23.8 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 54.5
Field Goal % 41.8% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 16.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 18.8
Free Throw % 77.5% 73.6%
Ball Control UNCW DAV
Rebounds 33.5 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.4
Turnovers 8.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.1
Steals 5.5 3.9
Fouls 15.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: NC-Wilmgton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCW DAV
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 66.1
% of Possessions with UNCW DAV
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 27.5%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.3%
Turnover 12.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCW DAV
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 26.7%