NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON BRY
Points 72.3 74.1
Total Points   146.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 28.7
Points From Free Throws 15.7 11.9
Shooting STON BRY
Field Goals Made 24.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 63.0
Field Goal % 38.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 15.7 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 17.7
Free Throw % 72.8% 67.6%
Ball Control STON BRY
Rebounds 42.7 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 32.1 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.7
Turnovers 9.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.1
Steals 6.2 5.6
Fouls 14.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON BRY
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.8 73.6
% of Possessions with STON BRY
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 32.8%
Player Fouled 18.6% 19.0%
Turnover 12.5% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON BRY
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 19.3%