NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON PROV
Points 62.9 75.2
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 30.9
Points From Free Throws 11.8 14.9
Shooting STON PROV
Field Goals Made 22.3 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 58.5
Field Goal % 37.7% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.6 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 11.8 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 20.0
Free Throw % 72.8% 74.5%
Ball Control STON PROV
Rebounds 34.6 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.9
Turnovers 9.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.2
Steals 5.6 5.9
Fouls 15.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Providence

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON PROV
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.0
% of Possessions with STON PROV
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 35.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 36.7%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.5%
Turnover 13.9% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON PROV
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.7% 27.1%