NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON HAMP
Points 76.7 64.7
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 22.9
Points From Free Throws 13.2 12.4
Shooting STON HAMP
Field Goals Made 27.7 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 61.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 36.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.6% 40.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 17.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 72.7%
Ball Control STON HAMP
Rebounds 41.5 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 31.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.1
Turnovers 8.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.5
Steals 6.0 4.7
Fouls 13.3 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON HAMP
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 71.6
% of Possessions with STON HAMP
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 18.6% 18.6%
Turnover 11.6% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON HAMP
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 24.5%