NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STON HOF
Points 67.2 72.9
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 29.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 33.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 9.8
Shooting STON HOF
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.1
Field Goal % 41.0% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 14.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 11.9 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 13.4
Free Throw % 72.8% 73.2%
Ball Control STON HOF
Rebounds 36.3 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 7.3
Turnovers 10.0 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.5
Steals 4.9 5.8
Fouls 12.6 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Stony Brook

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STON HOF
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 67.2
% of Possessions with STON HOF
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 39.1%
Player Fouled 17.9% 18.3%
Turnover 14.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken STON HOF
Shot Blocked 4.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 20.7%