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Florida St at Miami
Wed Feb 24, 2021
8:30pm ET
Coral Gables, FL
Florida St at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida State by 12.5, Total Points: 143
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 14-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-10-0 | 7-12-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-8-0 | 6-8-1 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
| FSU -12.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -12.5 |
| Last | -12.0 | Low | -11.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 283 games where the closing line favored the away team by 11.5 to 13.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida State won the game 251 times (88.7%).
- The team like Miami won the game 32 times (11.3%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 139-138-6 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 590 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 289-275-26 (51.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.5 | -11.0 | -12.5 |
| Open | -12.0 | -11.0 | -11.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/24 08:20 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:15 PM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 02/24 07:17 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:02 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 06:25 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 02/24 05:35 PM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 02/24 04:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:11 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 04:08 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 03:35 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:45 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/24 02:38 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/24 01:44 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 01:23 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 11:53 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 10:47 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 09:47 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 08:59 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 07:59 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 02/24 03:05 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 02:56 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 12:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 02/23 10:23 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
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