NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FSU CLEM
Points 69.0 79.1
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 24.0
Points From Free Throws 16.2 18.5
Shooting FSU CLEM
Field Goals Made 23.5 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 55.9
Field Goal % 40.5% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 16.2 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 23.8
Free Throw % 70.5% 77.8%
Ball Control FSU CLEM
Rebounds 31.6 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.8
Turnovers 9.3 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 7.3 3.9
Fouls 16.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FSU CLEM
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 70.6
% of Possessions with FSU CLEM
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 26.3%
Player Fouled 22.7% 23.3%
Turnover 12.8% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FSU CLEM
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 30.1%