NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FSU GT
Points 75.3 74.9
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 25.1
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.0
Shooting FSU GT
Field Goals Made 26.5 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 58.2
Field Goal % 43.4% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 21.7
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.6%
Ball Control FSU GT
Rebounds 33.3 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 12.7
Turnovers 8.2 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.0
Steals 8.4 3.6
Fouls 16.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FSU GT
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 72.1
% of Possessions with FSU GT
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 27.2%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.0%
Turnover 11.2% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 11.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FSU GT
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 35.4%