NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU SDSU
Points 54.9 84.7
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 17.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 22.4
Shooting LIU SDSU
Field Goals Made 19.1 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 57.0
Field Goal % 34.0% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 36.9% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 11.7 22.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 30.4
Free Throw % 66.9% 73.7%
Ball Control LIU SDSU
Rebounds 28.5 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 12.9
Turnovers 13.4 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.6
Steals 5.2 8.8
Fouls 19.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU SDSU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 75.9
% of Possessions with LIU SDSU
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 23.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 27.2%
Turnover 18.7% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 12.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU SDSU
Shot Blocked 9.9% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 38.4%