NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU ARMY
Points 62.0 64.5
Total Points   126.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 19.2
Points From Free Throws 12.0 11.2
Shooting LIU ARMY
Field Goals Made 22.4 23.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 56.1
Field Goal % 40.7% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 12.0 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 18.6
Free Throw % 66.9% 60.0%
Ball Control LIU ARMY
Rebounds 34.3 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 9.9
Turnovers 10.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.6
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 15.3 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU ARMY
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 67.7
% of Possessions with LIU ARMY
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 20.9% 22.3%
Turnover 15.4% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU ARMY
Shot Blocked 8.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 26.9%