NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU CCSU
Points 62.8 74.8
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.3 16.5
Points From Free Throws 11.1 17.8
Shooting LIU CCSU
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 56.5
Field Goal % 39.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 11.1 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 25.0
Free Throw % 66.9% 71.4%
Ball Control LIU CCSU
Rebounds 34.0 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.2
Steals 5.8 7.8
Fouls 16.3 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU CCSU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 71.4
% of Possessions with LIU CCSU
2 Point Attempt 52.1% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 22.3%
Player Fouled 17.1% 22.7%
Turnover 16.4% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU CCSU
Shot Blocked 9.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 25.8%