NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU RID
Points 64.2 78.0
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.2 14.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 19.7
Shooting LIU RID
Field Goals Made 22.6 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 58.5
Field Goal % 38.9% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 14.0 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 25.9
Free Throw % 66.9% 76.3%
Ball Control LIU RID
Rebounds 32.4 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.3
Turnovers 11.1 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.7
Steals 6.2 6.7
Fouls 17.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Rider

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU RID
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 74.3
% of Possessions with LIU RID
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 18.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 23.5%
Turnover 15.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU RID
Shot Blocked 8.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 32.1%