NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU DSU
Points 66.1 72.3
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 10.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 20.3
Shooting LIU DSU
Field Goals Made 23.7 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 57.0
Field Goal % 42.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 45.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 3.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 12.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 12.6 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 28.0
Free Throw % 66.9% 72.3%
Ball Control LIU DSU
Rebounds 33.6 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.1
Turnovers 14.7 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 6.2 8.8
Fouls 17.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Delaware St

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU DSU
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 74.5
% of Possessions with LIU DSU
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 13.8%
Player Fouled 19.4% 24.0%
Turnover 19.9% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 12.0% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU DSU
Shot Blocked 3.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 32.5%