NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU CONN
Points 49.2 92.7
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.6 49.9
Points From 3-Pointers 10.7 21.3
Points From Free Throws 10.9 21.5
Shooting LIU CONN
Field Goals Made 17.3 32.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 57.4
Field Goal % 30.0% 55.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 31.6% 68.9%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 25.3% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 10.9 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 28.6
Free Throw % 66.9% 75.1%
Ball Control LIU CONN
Rebounds 24.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 17.3 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 12.3
Turnovers 11.3 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.3 7.4
Steals 4.5 6.8
Fouls 18.0 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU CONN
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 75.0
% of Possessions with LIU CONN
2 Point Attempt 54.4% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 25.5%
Player Fouled 18.9% 25.5%
Turnover 16.0% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU CONN
Shot Blocked 13.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.9% 41.5%