NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIU TOWS
Points 56.7 74.8
Total Points   131.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.9 15.9
Points From Free Throws 11.5 18.8
Shooting LIU TOWS
Field Goals Made 20.2 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 57.3
Field Goal % 37.0% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 28.3
Free Throw % 66.9% 66.3%
Ball Control LIU TOWS
Rebounds 28.3 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 16.1
Turnovers 11.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.6
Steals 5.5 7.0
Fouls 16.1 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIU TOWS
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 75.3
% of Possessions with LIU TOWS
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 20.7%
Player Fouled 20.9% 23.4%
Turnover 17.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIU TOWS
Shot Blocked 9.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.9% 43.1%