NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH OKST
Points 71.2 73.2
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 45.7 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.8 24.8
Points From Free Throws 9.7 12.8
Shooting WICH OKST
Field Goals Made 28.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 59.9
Field Goal % 46.1% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 9.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 17.9
Free Throw % 69.7% 71.2%
Ball Control WICH OKST
Rebounds 36.0 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.0
Turnovers 10.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.4
Steals 7.1 6.8
Fouls 13.5 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH OKST
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 70.8
% of Possessions with WICH OKST
2 Point Attempt 54.9% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 30.7%
Player Fouled 17.1% 19.1%
Turnover 15.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH OKST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 27.3%