NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH TULN
Points 77.5 77.3
Total Points   154.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 21.4
Points From Free Throws 12.8 16.4
Shooting WICH TULN
Field Goals Made 28.7 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.9 59.8
Field Goal % 44.2% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.9
Free Throw % 69.7% 71.6%
Ball Control WICH TULN
Rebounds 41.7 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 6.5
Turnovers 11.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.2
Steals 5.8 7.6
Fouls 15.8 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH TULN
Total Possessions 75.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.1 72.6
% of Possessions with WICH TULN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.1% 24.5%
Player Fouled 17.4% 21.0%
Turnover 14.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH TULN
Shot Blocked 7.1% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.5% 17.8%