NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WICH MEM
Points 73.8 80.2
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 24.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 14.9
Shooting WICH MEM
Field Goals Made 27.7 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.5 64.3
Field Goal % 43.6% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 11.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 20.5
Free Throw % 69.7% 72.7%
Ball Control WICH MEM
Rebounds 38.0 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 12.9
Turnovers 12.9 10.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.1
Steals 6.0 8.9
Fouls 14.5 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WICH MEM
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 76.7
% of Possessions with WICH MEM
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 27.2%
Player Fouled 17.4% 19.6%
Turnover 17.5% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WICH MEM
Shot Blocked 8.0% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 33.4%