NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM BEL
Points 75.4 86.7
Total Points   162.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 36.6
Points From Free Throws 13.5 12.2
Shooting UTM BEL
Field Goals Made 26.6 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 65.0
Field Goal % 41.0% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 16.7
Free Throw % 75.6% 73.1%
Ball Control UTM BEL
Rebounds 39.1 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.3 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 7.1
Turnovers 10.2 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 5.0 6.6
Fouls 13.5 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Belmont

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM BEL
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 74.9
% of Possessions with UTM BEL
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 39.1%
Player Fouled 18.0% 17.7%
Turnover 13.5% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM BEL
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 19.4%