NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTM MURR
Points 74.9 79.2
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 26.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 11.2
Shooting UTM MURR
Field Goals Made 26.3 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 63.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 16.2
Free Throw % 75.6% 68.9%
Ball Control UTM MURR
Rebounds 35.7 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.6
Turnovers 10.2 6.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.6
Steals 3.8 5.5
Fouls 12.5 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTM MURR
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 72.8
% of Possessions with UTM MURR
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 32.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.6%
Turnover 14.4% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTM MURR
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 23.8%