NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA ORST
Points 74.3 67.5
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 15.9
Points From Free Throws 17.3 13.8
Shooting OKLA ORST
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 53.8
Field Goal % 45.7% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 29.9%
Free Throws Made 17.3 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 18.8
Free Throw % 73.5% 73.5%
Ball Control OKLA ORST
Rebounds 35.1 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.0
Turnovers 10.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 5.0 5.8
Fouls 16.4 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oregon St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA ORST
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 65.2
% of Possessions with OKLA ORST
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 23.1%
Player Fouled 25.2% 23.8%
Turnover 14.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA ORST
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 21.5%