NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA WICH
Points 77.3 67.5
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 15.2
Points From Free Throws 14.7 11.1
Shooting OKLA WICH
Field Goals Made 27.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 59.3
Field Goal % 45.7% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 14.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 15.9
Free Throw % 73.5% 69.7%
Ball Control OKLA WICH
Rebounds 38.1 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.6
Turnovers 9.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.7
Steals 6.0 6.2
Fouls 12.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA WICH
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 68.8
% of Possessions with OKLA WICH
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 21.5%
Player Fouled 20.8% 17.8%
Turnover 13.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA WICH
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.3% 23.9%