NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKLA KSU
Points 72.1 69.2
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 18.6
Points From Free Throws 18.2 15.7
Shooting OKLA KSU
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 54.3
Field Goal % 41.4% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 18.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 21.8
Free Throw % 73.5% 71.9%
Ball Control OKLA KSU
Rebounds 36.2 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.9
Turnovers 10.0 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.8
Steals 6.3 5.4
Fouls 16.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKLA KSU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 67.7
% of Possessions with OKLA KSU
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 26.0%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.9%
Turnover 14.0% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKLA KSU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 26.2%