NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS WIN
Points 68.7 74.4
Total Points   143.1
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 18.5
Points From Free Throws 11.7 24.0
Shooting SCUS WIN
Field Goals Made 24.4 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 48.0
Field Goal % 43.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 29.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.7 24.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 34.6
Free Throw % 64.0% 69.3%
Ball Control SCUS WIN
Rebounds 29.8 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.8
Turnovers 11.5 12.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.4
Steals 6.7 5.2
Fouls 22.0 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS WIN
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 69.1
% of Possessions with SCUS WIN
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 34.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 22.5%
Player Fouled 22.6% 30.9%
Turnover 16.2% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS WIN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 33.6%