NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS SCAR
Points 62.4 79.4
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 22.5
Points From Free Throws 9.6 17.4
Shooting SCUS SCAR
Field Goals Made 23.5 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 56.0
Field Goal % 41.8% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 9.6 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 24.6
Free Throw % 64.0% 70.6%
Ball Control SCUS SCAR
Rebounds 27.1 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 12.3
Turnovers 9.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.9
Steals 5.0 4.7
Fouls 16.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS SCAR
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 71.0
% of Possessions with SCUS SCAR
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.6% 24.2%
Turnover 14.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS SCAR
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.4% 37.4%