NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MSU OAK
Points 76.8 65.2
Total Points   142.1
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 26.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 27.0
Points From Free Throws 12.0 12.2
Shooting MSU OAK
Field Goals Made 28.4 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 57.1
Field Goal % 46.7% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 13.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 42.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.0 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 16.0
Free Throw % 72.5% 76.4%
Ball Control MSU OAK
Rebounds 39.2 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.8
Turnovers 8.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.5
Steals 5.8 4.9
Fouls 13.6 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Oakland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MSU OAK
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 66.6
% of Possessions with MSU OAK
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 33.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.9%
Turnover 12.4% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MSU OAK
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 23.9%