NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF UMES
Points 72.3 59.3
Total Points   131.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 25.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 18.8
Points From Free Throws 17.2 15.3
Shooting NORF UMES
Field Goals Made 24.8 18.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 51.3
Field Goal % 45.6% 36.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 12.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 41.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 17.2 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 21.4
Free Throw % 71.8% 71.8%
Ball Control NORF UMES
Rebounds 37.2 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.5
Turnovers 10.8 13.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.4
Steals 7.9 5.2
Fouls 16.1 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF UMES
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 64.9
% of Possessions with NORF UMES
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 26.3%
Player Fouled 24.0% 23.2%
Turnover 15.5% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF UMES
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.8% 26.6%