NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNCG RAD
Points 75.7 68.6
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 23.8
Points From Free Throws 10.7 12.9
Shooting UNCG RAD
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 55.8
Field Goal % 44.1% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 46.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 10.7 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 17.5
Free Throw % 72.8% 73.7%
Ball Control UNCG RAD
Rebounds 37.0 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 10.1
Turnovers 8.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.4
Steals 4.9 4.5
Fouls 13.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNCG RAD
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 66.9
% of Possessions with UNCG RAD
2 Point Attempt 38.4% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 37.5% 27.9%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.7%
Turnover 13.2% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNCG RAD
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 29.2%