NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS RAD
Points 67.9 73.0
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 19.6
Points From Free Throws 10.2 14.8
Shooting SCUS RAD
Field Goals Made 24.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 56.9
Field Goal % 42.8% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 10.2 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 20.1
Free Throw % 64.0% 73.7%
Ball Control SCUS RAD
Rebounds 31.0 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.9
Turnovers 9.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 4.7 4.8
Fouls 14.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS RAD
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 69.7
% of Possessions with SCUS RAD
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 23.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.2%
Turnover 13.6% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS RAD
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 35.1%