NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS VT
Points 63.5 81.6
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 21.9
Points From Free Throws 9.8 20.4
Shooting SCUS VT
Field Goals Made 23.7 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 52.5
Field Goal % 42.8% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 9.8 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 25.6
Free Throw % 64.0% 79.8%
Ball Control SCUS VT
Rebounds 26.7 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 8.5
Turnovers 11.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.6
Steals 5.8 5.5
Fouls 18.1 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS VT
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.7 68.1
% of Possessions with SCUS VT
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.0% 26.0%
Turnover 16.5% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS VT
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 29.7%