NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS HAMP
Points 71.6 67.8
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 17.3
Points From Free Throws 10.5 16.6
Shooting SCUS HAMP
Field Goals Made 26.4 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 55.9
Field Goal % 43.6% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 10.5 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 22.8
Free Throw % 64.0% 72.7%
Ball Control SCUS HAMP
Rebounds 34.5 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.9
Turnovers 9.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.4
Steals 6.9 4.9
Fouls 16.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS HAMP
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 70.1
% of Possessions with SCUS HAMP
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 24.0%
Player Fouled 19.6% 22.6%
Turnover 13.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS HAMP
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 29.8%