NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF L-IL
Points 61.8 72.5
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 25.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 30.0
Points From Free Throws 16.6 16.8
Shooting NORF L-IL
Field Goals Made 20.2 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 50.2
Field Goal % 37.4% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 12.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 24.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 24.8
Free Throw % 71.8% 67.6%
Ball Control NORF L-IL
Rebounds 31.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.1
Turnovers 11.4 13.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.3
Steals 7.4 5.9
Fouls 18.0 18.3

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF L-IL
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 65.7
% of Possessions with NORF L-IL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 29.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 32.5%
Player Fouled 26.1% 25.7%
Turnover 16.2% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF L-IL
Shot Blocked 10.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 28.6%