NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORF FAMU
Points 75.4 61.9
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 19.2
Points From Free Throws 18.1 11.9
Shooting NORF FAMU
Field Goals Made 25.5 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 52.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 45.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.3 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 18.1 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 17.6
Free Throw % 71.8% 68.1%
Ball Control NORF FAMU
Rebounds 35.3 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 9.0
Turnovers 9.8 15.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.6
Steals 8.4 4.5
Fouls 14.4 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Norfolk St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORF FAMU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 64.1
% of Possessions with NORF FAMU
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 23.1%
Player Fouled 24.0% 20.5%
Turnover 13.9% 21.8%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 11.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORF FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 26.6%