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Michigan St vs. Rutgers
Sat Feb 4, 2023
12:00pm ET
New York, NY
(Neutral Site)
Michigan St vs. Rutgers: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Rutgers by 5, Total Points: 127
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | RUTG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 13-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 9-8-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 4-11-0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Rutgers Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Princeton | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Boston U | -22.0 | W by 24 | +2.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | Bryant | -14.5 | W by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Georgetown | -10.0 | W by 11 | +1.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Howard | -15.5 | W by 22 | +6.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | St Peters | -16.0 | W by 31 | +15.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Illinois | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.5 | L by 19 | -15.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Seton Hall | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | LIU | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.0 | L by 10 | -7.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Stonehill | -25.5 | W by 1 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Ohio St | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Iowa | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Indiana | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Michigan St | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Illinois | +11.0 | L by 23 | -12.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 15 | -22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Michigan | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | W by 3 | +10.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.5 | W by 22 | +25.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Northwestern | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Minnesota | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Purdue | +14.5 | L by 28 | -13.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Maryland | -2.0 | L by 17 | -19.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Michigan | -8.0 | W by 30 | +22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Nebraska | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Wisconsin | +10.0 | L by 12 | -2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Ohio St | +1.5 | L by 22 | -20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Maryland | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
| RUTG -5.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 789 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Rutgers won the game 547 times (69.3%).
- The team like Michigan St. won the game 242 times (30.7%).
- The team like Rutgers did better against the spread, going 399-376-14 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3486 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan St. did better against the spread, going 1719-1695-72 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 12:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/04 11:47 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 10:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 04:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/04 01:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 06:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:49 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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