NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SJSU PEPP
Points 71.0 73.3
Total Points   144.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 21.5
Points From Free Throws 9.3 13.9
Shooting SJSU PEPP
Field Goals Made 27.0 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 55.6
Field Goal % 48.0% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 9.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 19.9
Free Throw % 68.6% 69.8%
Ball Control SJSU PEPP
Rebounds 29.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 9.7
Turnovers 9.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.4
Steals 4.4 3.6
Fouls 15.7 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: San Jose St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SJSU PEPP
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 68.0
% of Possessions with SJSU PEPP
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 22.5%
Player Fouled 19.2% 23.2%
Turnover 13.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SJSU PEPP
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 29.3%