NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCUS AKR
Points 63.4 73.8
Total Points   137.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 20.0
Points From Free Throws 9.9 18.2
Shooting SCUS AKR
Field Goals Made 23.6 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 52.6
Field Goal % 42.0% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 9.9 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 24.9
Free Throw % 64.0% 72.9%
Ball Control SCUS AKR
Rebounds 28.7 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 10.1
Turnovers 10.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 5.6 4.8
Fouls 17.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCUS AKR
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 68.2
% of Possessions with SCUS AKR
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 26.9%
Player Fouled 22.5% 25.9%
Turnover 14.9% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCUS AKR
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 31.6%