NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH MORE
Points 66.7 64.7
Total Points   131.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 28.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 26.8
Points From Free Throws 11.9 9.6
Shooting RICH MORE
Field Goals Made 24.4 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 56.8
Field Goal % 44.6% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 14.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 46.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 11.9 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 13.1
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.2%
Ball Control RICH MORE
Rebounds 30.5 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 4.8 9.8
Turnovers 7.4 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 5.9 4.0
Fouls 11.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Morehead St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH MORE
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 65.4
% of Possessions with RICH MORE
2 Point Attempt 51.6% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 34.3%
Player Fouled 21.7% 16.8%
Turnover 11.1% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH MORE
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 14.6% 27.6%