NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH LAS
Points 72.1 64.5
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 24.4
Points From Free Throws 12.6 8.9
Shooting RICH LAS
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 61.3
Field Goal % 46.6% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 12.6 8.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 12.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.6%
Ball Control RICH LAS
Rebounds 36.0 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 8.8
Turnovers 7.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 4.6 4.2
Fouls 11.4 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH LAS
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 68.7
% of Possessions with RICH LAS
2 Point Attempt 52.9% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 31.0%
Player Fouled 20.8% 16.5%
Turnover 10.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH LAS
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 22.4%