NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH STJOE
Points 69.9 69.9
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 29.2
Points From Free Throws 10.7 10.4
Shooting RICH STJOE
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 59.8
Field Goal % 45.1% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 10.7 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 14.5
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.9%
Ball Control RICH STJOE
Rebounds 32.9 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 9.6
Turnovers 8.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.0
Steals 6.0 5.0
Fouls 12.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH STJOE
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 68.7
% of Possessions with RICH STJOE
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 36.2%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.4%
Turnover 12.7% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH STJOE
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 16.3% 25.9%