NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICH VT
Points 68.9 70.4
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 24.0
Points From Free Throws 11.0 13.0
Shooting RICH VT
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 56.7
Field Goal % 46.9% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 32.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 11.0 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 16.2
Free Throw % 71.6% 79.8%
Ball Control RICH VT
Rebounds 30.8 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 4.7 7.5
Turnovers 8.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.0
Steals 5.6 4.1
Fouls 13.5 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICH VT
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 66.6
% of Possessions with RICH VT
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 31.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.8%
Turnover 13.1% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICH VT
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 14.7% 22.4%